The Ignorance of Climate Alarmism

One of the sad side effects of the global warming climate scam is the way otherwise fairly intelligent people have been snookered into believing the dumbest things. An example in point: in a world where millions die each year due to malnutrition, US Secretary John Kerry lectured African leaders attending a summit in Washington that creating more farms in Africa causes too much carbon pollution. Can you imagine the response of any national leader, being told he must let his people starve because a bunch of rich nation, ivory tower science boffins have this unproven, wild idea that CO2 might cause the world to warm by a degree or two a hundred years from now? This is the type of imbecility that comes from following a pernicious untruth down a rabbit hole of false assumptions. Yet around the globe people seem defenseless against the infectious ignorance that is climate alarmism.

According to reports, Secretary of State John Kerry told an audience that “8,000 children die every day” and in sub-Sahara Africa, one in four suffer from chronic hunger. Then a few minutes later, he stressed how creating new farms would cause too much carbon pollution so they need to discourage more farm land. What abject moron can truly believe that curing hunger in Africa today can be accomplished by fighting unproven global warming in the far future? At the same time Kerry revealed the administration’s top priority for Russia: reducing greenhouse gases, not the 8,000 additional Russian troops massing on the Ukraine border. At least he is a consistent fool.

Another example, not coincidentally from the Obama administration, was the release of a YouTube video linking the California wildfires to climate change. According to the Washington Post newspaper: “The administration released a video Tuesday aimed at clarifying the link between climate change and one of the most tangible products of climate change: wildfires. Wildfires have been an increasing topic of conversation on Capitol Hill, thanks both to the record wildfire years we've had this decade and to a strain on funding to fight them.”

The article then goes on to explain the situation in a graphic that shows the situation to not be as described by the administration. Both in terms of number of fires and total acres burned 2014 is far from a record year for wildfire. The graphics below are from the WaPo based on government statistics.


Another major piece of climate alarmist deception is the pronouncement that 2014 has given the world its hottest May and June on record. While California has had the hottest first half of the year in its recent history, North America has actually been colder than normal, and Canberra, Australia, has experienced its coldest stretch in 43 years with four consecutive mornings below -6°C (21°F). Indeed, a review of NASA satellite data revealed that Earth set a new record for coldest temperature recorded. It happened in Antarctica on August 2010 when it hit -135.8°F. Then on July 31 of 2013, it came close again, registering -135.3°F. That is so cold researchers on the southernmost continent reported it hurt to breath.

The record cold has continued this year at the south pole. A report from Meteo France claims that June this year was the coldest Antarctic June ever recorded, at the French Antarctic Dumont d’Urville Station. According to the press release, during June this year, the average temperature was -22.4c (-8.3F), 6.6c (11.9F) lower than normal. This is the coldest June ever recorded at the station, and almost the coldest monthly average ever – only September 1953 was colder, with a recorded average temperature of -23.5c (-10.3F). Not long ago, alarmists had Antarctica losing it ice-sheet, flooding the world's oceans.

This has been accompanied by record anomaly for Southern Hemisphere sea ice. The ice encircling the southernmost continent is 2.074 million square kilometers as reported by the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign’s The Cryosphere Today. This is shown in the graph below.

But what about those claims that 2014 had the warmist June on record? The answer is where and how you look at temperatures—surface temperature readings, atmospheric readings from balloons, satellite infrared from different atmospheric layers all give different readings and trends. One consistent set of high precision temperature data is Global Lower Atmosphere collection maintained at the University of Alabama Huntsville. The recent graph issued by Dr. Roy Spenser, shown below, shows that 2014 was far from the hottest summer in the northern hemisphere on record.

Still reports keep coming from the predictably climate alarmist organizations—NASA, NOAA, IPCC, etc.—that claim the world is still warming. Interestingly, even the US's NOAA and the UK's Met Office Hadly Centre have published data that document the 17+ year “pause” that has so vexed the global warming true believers. Here is the historical global temperature record as published by the two official sources from the US and the UK.


As can clearly be seen the records are in general agreement historically. Both show a recent halt and even decline in the warming trend. So why do certain groups report otherwise? It is a mater of faith, the triumph of global warming religion over true science. The all purpose cause for any climate or weather related clamity has become climate change. This can be seen every day in any news medium—TV, print, on the Internet. For example, the number of bad weather events reported by news services has gone up tremendously over the last century, supposedly due to climate change. But is this true? Resoundingly no.

Consider tornadoes in the US. If you listen to the reporters on the Weather Channel or any other 24 hour news service the US is suffering from a plague of twisters, chewing up the Midwest. Indeed the number of tornadoes has risen as has the damage they cause. Why this increase in reported events has taken place is made clear by NOAA:

One of the main difficulties with tornado records is that a tornado, or evidence of a tornado must have been observed. Unlike rainfall or temperature, which may be measured by a fixed instrument, tornadoes are short-lived and very unpredictable. If a tornado occurs in a place with few or no people, it is not likely to be documented. Many significant tornadoes may not make it into the historical record since Tornado Alley was very sparsely populated during the 20th century.

In short, more people report more tornadoes, simply by being there. In actuality, there is no trend in tornado activity over the past 80 years or so. Neither the number of events nor their intensity have increased. Actual data from NOAA is shown below.

Storm damage has increased in absolute terms for similar reasons. Not only are there more people present to observe tornadoes there is now more property to be damage or destroyed by these violent weather events. As can be seen from the chart below, if the damage amounts are normalized the claimed rise in storm damage disappears.

The same is true of all the other climate induced catastrophes predicted by the alarmists. The US is in a historical hurricane drought that has lasted more than 8 years with no major storm making landfall. Such a streak is unprecedented going back to 1900. The previous longest span is about 2½ years shorter!

Reportedly, more of the US is in drought or sever drought that before in recorded history, but the record used is only 12 years old. If historical records are used the current drought is not unusual or even noteworthy. The residents of California may be complaining but they chose to live in a state that frequently experiences droughts (and wildfires, earthquakes and mudslides).

Also widely reported is the claim that islands in the far-flung corners of the world's oceans are in imminent danger of sliding permanently beneath the waves like a bevy of modern day Atlantises. As reported in the journal Science:

Paul Kench, a geomorphologist who now heads the University of Auckland's School of Environment in New Zealand, was the first to question the dire forecasts for Kiribati and similar island nations. In 1999, the World Bank asked him to evaluate the economic costs of sea-level rise and climate change to Pacific island nations. Kench, who had been studying how atoll islands evolve over time, says he had assumed that a rising ocean would engulf the islands, which consist of sand perched on reefs. “That's what everyone thought, and nobody questioned it,” he says. But when he scoured the literature, he could not find a single study to support that scenario.

And the list of false and debunked claims goes on and on. Part of the blame for all these faux catastrophes rests squarely on the news media. Operating under the old adage, “if it bleeds it leads,” the mindless vultures of the world's news agencies flock to report any calamity, more than happy to attributed the event to climate change. Instead of registering guns, governments should register cameras and microphones—they are truly dangerous weapons in the hands of the breathtakingly ignorant members of the fourth estate.

Of course there is no shortage of “experts” who gleefully back up these claims of climate induced catastrophe—some with scholarly gravitas, others with fanatical shrillness. Never asked for the evidence to support their claims, these imbecilic ambassadors of climate science corruption blithely spread ignorance far and wide. The news interviewers hang breathlessly on their every word while they sneer at skeptics, labeling them “deniers” and “climate criminals.” Skeptics are quickly cut off if they dare to offer boring facts debunking the climate alarmists. And so it goes, this intellectual equivalent of a venereal disease, the ignorance of climate alarmism continues to infect the unschooled and those too lazy to think critically.

Be safe, enjoy the interglacial and stay skeptical.

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Global Cooling

Dr Norman Page - Houston
For several years I have been pointing out the uselessness of the IPCC forecasting methods and warning of the coming cooling. For the latest forecasts of the timing and extent of the this see
http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com